Strategy Update Q4 2007
January 2008
The final quarter of 2007 saw more volatility due to the credit and
housing problems that are currently bedeviling the economy. Pivot
Point's growth and value strategies performed well within expectations,
outperforming the relevant benchmarks by a few percentage points for the
year.
The two core components of our strategies, a focus on reasonable
valuations combined with a trend-following component, helped us avoid
some of the worst performing sectors and find a few attractive
opportunities to boost returns.
Our strategies are designed to adapt as the situation changes. Of
course any stock portfolio is bound to follow the general direction of a
suitable benchmark, but our disciplined approach can help mitigate some
of the drawdowns. In the past systematic strategies like ours have
generated attractive long-term performance to adequately compensate
investors for staying the course through the inevitable rough spots that
hit our economy from time to time. So far the current economic situation
does not appear to be very different from other economic difficulties in
the past.
Performance
Please follow the links under 'strategies' on the left to view
monthly returns and a comparison to an appropriate benchmark. Click
here for important disclosures on
how the returns were calculated.
Conservative Value (NEW)
The Conservative Value combines the stock selection principles of
Dynamic Value with the ranking technology of Conservative Growth. The
track record for this strategy starts in February 2007.
From inception through December this strategy returned 8.85% compared
with an almost 12% decline in the Russell 2000 Value index. While such
strong outperformance is certainly welcome, especially in these volatile
times, we caution readers that we expect this strategy to add one or two
percentage points to the benchmark return on average. The current level
of outperformance is unsustainable for extended periods of time.
Current Holdings
|
Ticker |
Name |
Shares |
Price |
Value |
Sector |
Exposure |
|
BKI |
Buckeye Technologies Inc |
3781 |
$ 12.50 |
$ 47,262.50 |
BM |
17.5% |
|
EMN |
Eastman Chemical Co |
961 |
$ 61.09 |
$ 58,707.49 |
BM |
|
|
MEOH |
Methanex Corp |
1732 |
$ 27.60 |
$ 47,803.20 |
BM |
|
|
OMG |
OM Group Inc |
1212 |
$ 57.54 |
$ 69,738.48 |
BM |
|
|
RS |
Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co |
1156 |
$ 54.20 |
$ 62,655.20 |
BM |
|
|
SCHN |
Schnitzer Steel Industries Inc |
902 |
$ 69.13 |
$ 62,355.26 |
BM |
|
|
STLD |
Steel Dynamics Inc |
1294 |
$ 59.57 |
$ 77,083.58 |
BM |
|
|
SXT |
Sensient Technologies Corp |
1795 |
$ 28.28 |
$ 50,762.60 |
BM |
|
|
TX |
Ternium SA |
1478 |
$ 40.11 |
$ 59,282.58 |
BM |
|
|
VZ |
Verizon Communications Inc |
1427 |
$ 43.69 |
$ 62,345.63 |
C |
2.0% |
|
BWA |
BorgWarner Inc |
1320 |
$ 48.41 |
$ 63,901.20 |
CC |
9.1% |
|
JAKK |
Jakks Pacific Inc |
2351 |
$ 23.61 |
$ 55,507.11 |
CC |
|
|
RUSHA |
Rush Enterprises Inc |
3745 |
$ 18.18 |
$ 68,084.10 |
CC |
|
|
TRW |
TRW Automotive Holdings Corp |
2107 |
$ 20.90 |
$ 44,036.30 |
CC |
|
|
UAUA |
UAL Corp |
1338 |
$ 35.66 |
$ 47,713.08 |
CC |
|
|
AET |
Aetna Inc |
1173 |
$ 57.73 |
$ 67,717.29 |
CS |
14.7% |
|
AMSG |
Amsurg Corp |
1984 |
$ 27.06 |
$ 53,687.04 |
CS |
|
|
EMS |
Emergency Medical Services Corp |
2110 |
$ 29.28 |
$ 61,780.80 |
CS |
|
|
FDP |
Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc |
2060 |
$ 33.58 |
$ 69,174.80 |
CS |
|
|
KND |
Kindred Healthcare Inc |
2162 |
$ 24.98 |
$ 54,006.76 |
CS |
|
|
MGLN |
Magellan Health Services Inc |
1155 |
$ 46.63 |
$ 53,857.65 |
CS |
|
|
MOH |
Molina Healthcare Inc |
1361 |
$ 38.70 |
$ 52,670.70 |
CS |
|
|
URI |
United Rentals Inc |
1940 |
$ 18.36 |
$ 35,618.40 |
CS |
|
|
COP |
ConocoPhillips |
759 |
$ 88.30 |
$ 67,019.70 |
E |
15.4% |
|
CVX |
Chevron Corp |
705 |
$ 93.33 |
$ 65,797.65 |
E |
|
|
DK |
Delek US Holdings Inc |
2688 |
$ 20.23 |
$ 54,378.24 |
E |
|
|
HES |
Hess Corp |
964 |
$ 100.86 |
$ 97,229.04 |
E |
|
|
MRO |
Marathon Oil Corp |
1081 |
$ 60.86 |
$ 65,789.66 |
E |
|
|
TSO |
Tesoro Corp |
1222 |
$ 47.70 |
$ 58,289.40 |
E |
|
|
VLO |
Valero Energy Corp |
891 |
$ 70.03 |
$ 62,396.73 |
E |
|
|
MLAN |
Midland Co/The |
1027 |
$ 64.69 |
$ 66,436.63 |
F |
13.9% |
|
PRE |
PartnerRe Ltd |
806 |
$ 82.53 |
$ 66,519.18 |
F |
|
|
PTP |
Platinum Underwriters Holdings Ltd |
1754 |
$ 35.56 |
$ 62,372.24 |
F |
|
|
RJF |
Raymond James Financial Inc |
1472 |
$ 32.66 |
$ 48,075.52 |
F |
|
|
TRH |
Transatlantic Holdings Inc |
890 |
$ 72.67 |
$ 64,676.30 |
F |
|
|
UAM |
Universal American Corp |
2217 |
$ 25.59 |
$ 56,733.03 |
F |
|
|
UNM |
Unum Group |
2560 |
$ 23.79 |
$ 60,902.40 |
F |
|
|
AAWW |
Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings Inc |
1130 |
$ 54.22 |
$ 61,268.60 |
I |
19.0% |
|
AG |
AGCO Corp |
1230 |
$ 67.98 |
$ 83,615.40 |
I |
|
|
ATR |
Aptargroup Inc |
1526 |
$ 40.91 |
$ 62,428.66 |
I |
|
|
AVT |
Avnet Inc |
1533 |
$ 34.97 |
$ 53,609.01 |
I |
|
|
CIR |
CIRCOR International Inc |
1346 |
$ 46.36 |
$ 62,400.56 |
I |
|
|
CMC |
Commercial Metals Co |
1920 |
$ 29.45 |
$ 56,544.00 |
I |
|
|
CMCO |
Columbus McKinnon Corp/NY |
1638 |
$ 32.62 |
$ 53,431.56 |
I |
|
|
CNH |
CNH Global NV |
1099 |
$ 65.82 |
$ 72,336.18 |
I |
| |